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Clutch Hitting: Logisitic Regression (PDF) (February 10, 2004)

Posted 1:31 p.m., February 10, 2004 (#1) - Very small nit
  Lig represents the test for the five groups of leverage index. The last column is of
particular interest. It represents the probability of getting a result this extreme due to
chance. Usually if this value is below .05 then we say that it is statistically significant
meaning that it is probably a real effect.

Actually, it represents the probability - if the null is true - that this analysis would yield the current results.

This indicates that on average, players' performances aren't affected by the leverage of the situation. However, this does not refute the possibility that there are a smaller subset of players who do perform better in clutch situations. Some players might do better in the clutch, some might do worse, and some might perform equally to other situations. Regarding those who do better - is it better than would be expected by chance?

Also, I admit I didn't read through the past threads on clutch ability, so I may have missed this, but wouldn't clutch hitting (hitting in high leverage situations) be affected by clutch pitching (pitching in high leverage situations)? I would imagine that the two would cancel each other out, so that even if clutch does exist, it would be masked by this.